Chicago Blackhawks complete major two-player transaction

March 16, 2024  (4:04 PM)

Lukas Reichel in front of UPL
Photo credit: Jeffrey T. Barnes/AP

With Lukas Reichel's confidence at an all-time high, the team has recalled the forward from the Rockford IceHogs.

Reichel's Time Again

With his recall, head coach Luke Richardson will have to find a spot for him in the lineup.
Reichel will be slotting in on recently returned forward Andreas Athanasiou's left, as the two already have great chemistry built last season, and it seems Luke Richardson wants to see if they can ignite again.

Bring Out The Blender

The lines have shifted once more, as Nick Foligno will be placed on the 3rd line's right side of Athanasiou and Reichel.

In place of Foligno on the 1st line, will be Tyler Johnson, as they will be San Jose Sharks tomorrow at 6:00 PM.
Richardson on Reichel's call-up:
"This is a good time to get him back here, while his confidence is at a higher level compared to when he left... As we're a little healthier unit now, as well, we can get him with some players that can complement him and help him out."

Last season, Reichel had an xG% of 45.58 with Andreas Athanasiou being one of his linemates.
With his shift to center during the 2023-2024 season, his shoot and xg% dipped considerably, to 36.89% this year.
The nerds in the front office and Richardson know that Athanasiou may be the one to unlock and help Reichel's talents once again.
You see many fans and media members articulate term «Expected Goals Share» (xGF%) and we all hear «goals above expected» and «saves above expected» all the time.
I read a lot of write ups about different xG models and there is no simple explanation of how the xG values assigned or generated and to be honest it is for the reason, since this thing is not simple and it is based on advanced mathematics, statistics and data-analysis methods.
However, I'm here to try and explain how these guys create (they call it «build») their models and then produce and assign xG values for every unblocked shot in a game.
So let's make it clear first:

xG value is the statistical chance of the unblocked shot to become a goal.

xG is literally the most direct way to measure shot quality that exists, given the current Play-By-Play data.

This PBP data is made by NHL available to the public, but it has its inaccuracies, inconsistencies and omissions. Anyway that is the data that all public xG models are using, so nothing is perfect, obviously. These errors are also random, i.e. there's not a specific type of mistake that happens the same way very often. That means that in a large sample, the mistakes should mostly wash out (e.g. for every shot listed as too close, there's one listed as too far)
There are three public models that provide real-time xG values in public space:

– Money Puck (Creator: Peter Tanner)

– Natural Stat Trick (Creator: Brad Timmins)

– Evolving-hockey (Creators: Josh and Luke Younggren)

As Seen On: jetsnation.ca
16 MARS   |   122 ANSWERS
Chicago Blackhawks complete major two-player transaction

Do you think Lukas Reichel is best as a winger or center?

Winger8267.2 %
Center4032.8 %
Latest 10 stories